Thursday, April 27, 2006

AMD 45nm in 2009, Intel in 2008


Seems naturally for AMD to make before that, a safe transition to new HT 3.0 standard and FB-DIMM servers based on DDR3. On the other side, Intel will switch to 45nm by the beginning of 2008, the whole year earlier. Thus, Intel will not have enough time to make transition to a new architecture until then ( I don't count current NGMA as a new architecture). What will AMD do until 45nm emerge? It would produce 100M processors anually, some 33% of world's x86 production in 2008.

Thus, 45nm could further increase AMD's market share!? .
Or not?. Intel will introduce new architecture every 2 years. AMD will introduce high-K technology at the 45nm node, earlier than Intel. Seems like fight to death, both companies are relying on its own weapon.
What about Intel's Next generation Gesher microarchitecture?
Gesher = current project M(it)osis. (That led Jews out of oppressive Egypt to Promised Land?). My confident source? Deep throat from Intel's multicore development center at Braunschweig , Germany. Please don't miss the fact that Gesher's party David Magan was a mayor of Quiryat Gat, where is currently in construction Intel's gargantuan 45nm fab, that will too produce 32nm Geshers (bridges) in the year 2010 and after. Lets go back to Nehalem. In Hebrew nehal means a stream.
Nehelam means multi
streams. Now, Gesher+Nehalem in Hebrew literally means bridge+multistream.
With transfered meaning: BRIDGE OVER TROUBLED WATERS ! . Err, link is here.

I am joking, but probably we have here not only one, but two new, competitive Intel's microarchitectures. Nehalem might be streaming architecture like Stanford's Merimac ( stream in native Indian language, but no problem for us multilinguals, hehe). Gesher? Speculative multithreading architecture, sort of functional bridge over few cores (4 at least). And who will win in the end? Well, being Gesher is from the Holy Jewish Land promised by Jahve, what do you think who will be favorized by God (Jahve)? Lets wait some 3,5 years for this hypothesis to be tested in reality. Not too far.
But, don't forget. Nobody was before Badhardware.




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