Saturday, March 31, 2007

First 1TB hard disk just announced. In memory to Jim Gray.

5 plates, 7200 rpm, 1000 GBs of storage, 8,5 msec read access time, 9,2 msecs to write, transfer rate is 1,070Mbits/s.
Hitachi's HDS721010KLA330 (picture above) is the first 1 TB hard disk drive ever, just announced in Japan. Missed Jim Gray, great man and world's class expert in huge databases and disks, predicted that in his talk, even in year 2001. Well, that wasn't too hard, taking in account all those previously known HD trends. Though he thought it will happen by the end of 2006, it happened only 3 months later, and that failure in 6 years time span is damned good result (in 4% error tollerance range ). The only strange thing about it is that 1TB disk in 2001 was quite unnecessary and strange idea.

I remember well, my new PC (year 2000 patched) was equipped
that year with "huge" WD 8GB disk. However, Jim correctly envisioned the time when 1TB disk will lead the race. And one more important thing. It will essentially be a TAPE. In performance sense, of course. Of course, I immediately recognized the result of that his finding , and connected it with my own research on ongoing trends in computer future memory hierarchy with the following moto: Tape is dead, disk will become tape, Flash will become HD, RAM will become place for smaller file system objects, and large L3 - L4 SRAM caches will takeover former RAM duties. In 2002. That is why it was pretty brave claim.

4 years later, in December 2006 Jim wrote his last article before he passed his way by the end of January. Here is an disk related important quote form that article:

So, what is the next in Jim's last article? In December 2006, Microsoft was more than a year involved in active research of flash file systems. Their latest findings to be announced this month (from my talks with Jim Gray) stresses the necessity of standardisation of flash file system hardware and data structures necessary for its so much needed acceptable operating conditions performance. More details will follow from me soon. Like Internet Operating system will take over my PC? Why? Because I needed Windows when my hd was size of 8GB. I thought I will never need anyone bigger. Now 8GB is the size of my web wisw storage size. Now only Web 2.0 to make mature enough to use that free web storage. Let me remind you, Yahoo just made its storage infinite , a few days ago. ! ! I hope I will survive to see it by my bare eyes. Sadly, Jim Gray never saw his own 1TB prediction became literally true, though I inform him even in 2006 that Hitachi has this model at picture above ready for production, as soon as possible.

Friday, March 23, 2007

As AMD Barcelona comes up closer, Intel's shares go down

Meanwhile, Chris Caso of Friedman Billings Ramsey says he has learned that Intel is planning to cut prices on its quad-core server processors by 30% to 50% on July 7, ahead of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) launch of its new Barcelona processor. “Essentially, these cuts bring quad-core processors to dual-core price points, which will likely be negative for INTC server margins, but would allow it to gain further share,” he wrote in a research note this morning. “We expect these cuts to delay some of the [second half] margin improvement that we had hoped for. However, we think the price cuts are worse for AMD, as these cuts likely mute the Barcelona launch.”

Caso maintains an Outperform rating on Intel with a $25 price target.

Intel today is down 8 cents at $19.26; AMD is up 8 cents at $13.68.

However, Badhardware feels that Barcelona will be announced on Computex Taiwan June 6th. If so, Intel price cut will be late. If Computex launch is real, but Barcelona's volume availability is late a month or so after June, then Intel's move will have some positive impact to Satan Clara company. But, what about Barcelona impact on the overall market?

AMD is in the running for the best tech stock for 2007.

The task at hand is to find the tech stock most likely to outperform the market in 2007. What if I can show you a company that is poised to retake a recently lost performance crown, is fighting a price war its competitors' shareholders can't be happy about, and is available at its lowest share price since 2004?
That stock, my friends, is Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD). Now available at a broker near you at a 60% discount from its 52-week highs, this scrappy underdog is better equipped to fight the good fight against chip giant Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) than most investors seem to realize. Think of it this way: Intel still outsells AMD by three processor units to one. For every dollar of lower prices in the price war, it takes three times as many real dollars out of the bigger company's top line.

Don't forget that AMD is used to making a living off slim margins, in the same class as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) or Dell (Nasdaq: DELL). Its substantial investments in manufacturing infrastructure leads to Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN)-sized depreciation and amortization -- and more than $1 billion in positive operation cash flow through the first three quarters of 2006. But management tends to spend all of that cash on expanding its business. As a result, AMD is keeping pace with Intel in processor performance, making for a give-and-take race between two worthy competitors.

Next up from AMD is the native quad-core Barcelona processor, which is likely to outperform the Intel quads that are merely two dual cores bolted together. After that, both companies are moving on to smaller and more advanced manufacturing processes -- in AMD's case, together with IBM (NYSE: IBM). There are worse partners than the perennial world leader in new patents. And in 2008, the ATI acquisition should start to bear fruit, with fully integrated systems-on-a-chip and better graphics performance than anything Intel can produce.

Over the past three years, Intel has grown revenues at a plodding 5.5% annually. Texas Instruments did better with 13.2%, but AMD smokes them both with 17.1% annual sales growth. Intel shareholders aren't likely to want the price war extended beyond 2007, which is management's current plan. When the pricing lid comes off later this year, AMD's earnings will take off again, as its highly efficient operations creates earnings leverage when revenues and gross margins expand. And that depressed valuation will follow suit.

So will AMD rise to new heights in 2007? I think it will.

P.S. After this story broke the ice, Intel get panicking . On April 22, Intel is slated to announce a 40 percent price cut on its current quad-core processors and significant drop on Core 2 Duos, channel sources said.

That means only one. Barcelona is on June 6th. Or even earlier. Intel in panic even gave details of fothcoming High-K metal process in 2008.

In upper picture we see proposed significant reduction of leakage due to High-K introduction. But, then Intel introduces Deep power down state. If there is acceptable reduction of leakage with High-K, than why Deep power down, that is the only real undoutbtfull way to cut lekage. See the core waking time from deep power down. Obviously something is wrong with Intel. Yeah, bigger caches boosts performance, but leakage too. !


Thursday, March 15, 2007

64bit Windows Internet Explorer 7 announced !

And only 4 years after the 64 bit Opteron announcement !.
What a breakthrough.

Saturday, March 10, 2007

Freezing news on hot topic quantum computer

A method of simulating a molecular system using a hybrid computer is provided. The hybrid computer comprises a classical computer and a quantum computer. The method uses atomic coordinates {right arrow over (R)}n and atomic charges Zn of a molecular system to compute a ground state energy of the molecular system using the quantum computer. The ground state energy is returned to the classical computer and the atomic coordinates are geometrically optimized on the classical computer based on information about the returned ground state energy of the atomic coordinates in order to produce a new set of atomic coordinates {right arrow over (R)}?n for the molecular system. These steps are optionally repeated in accordance with a refinement algorithm until a predetermined termination condition is achieved

1. It actually uses artificial atoms to simulate real ones.
2. It is not a general purpose computer design. It only simulates atoms clusters. Thus, for any new cluster simulation it needs a new QASIC chip.
3. It works not hotter than a few milli Kelvins close to aboslute zero. More qubits will heat chip and destroy the quantum coherence, its basic working principle.
4. Quantum fluctuations are inherent part of its working principle too. But, did D-wave company solve those problems as it boldly claims? More computing useful qubits means more errors, and overall less correct computing results. That further implies more repeated computings and bigger number of inputs for majority voting in the end. Without some miraculous error correcting breaktrough mechanism, quantum computing is self restricting in useful computing outcome.

Seems that practical use of quantum computer will still wait until the year 2020.

Friday, March 09, 2007

OMG my son is in the Satan's AMD hands

Computer hackers are often limited by conventional computer hardware. They may request "faster" video cards, and larger hard drives, or even more memory. If your son starts requesting these devices, it is possible that he has a legitimate need. You can best ensure that you are buying legal, trustworthy hardware by only buying replacement parts from your computer's manufacturer.

If your son has requested a new "processor" from a company called "AMD", this is genuine cause for alarm. AMD is a third-world based company who make inferior, "knock-off" copies of American processor chips. They use child labor extensively in their third world sweatshops, and they deliberately disable the security features that American processor makers, such as Intel, use to prevent hacking. AMD chips are never sold in stores, and you will most likely be told that you have to order them from internet sites. Do not buy this chip! This is one request that you must refuse your son, if you are to have any hope of raising him well.

I have been always Intel's brethren, and still I am. But, am I rising my son well? Yes he always has demanded since 2003 faster and faster processor and graphics cards. But I neglected him being Intel's fan satisfied with the same performance since than and sometimes even worse. In the end my son became addict on AMD based notebook !. And what more AMD is based in the third world !. Ok, let check where is based Satan's Dresden fab. Not in a third world, but in EU ! However AMD is not an American company. ! So, let's check where is Satan's next fab located. In New York ! Now, follows that New York is not in America , but in the third World! I am seems totally confused by Satan.

So lets go back quckly and faithfully in Intel's Church. Intel is not in third world. Well, I mean it is in third world only by some 60 percent when we take in account all its fabs. The only confusing thing here is actually Israel in America?. Then 3 Intel's fabs and two development centers there should be accounted in America ,not in the third world. So the next Intel's fab too will not be in third world (Kiryat Gat, Israel) but in America. All Core processors that we should buy from American company Intel are designed in Israel. Buy Intel, that is American patriotism decree!.

AMD uses knock off copies of American company Intel? As far as I know Intel is proud to be allowed to steal AMD's 64bit X86 technology. Than AMD's execution denied technology in memory and in future Intel plans to copy and steal memory controller and Hypertransport and Torenzza socket. Did I miss something?

AMD plans to steal Itanium technology? A geniuine American technology. No, because no one wants it. But, if someone even would want Itanium, Satan would deliberately copy it in the third world. In New York , I guess.

It's All About The Pentiums babe !

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Space email: I will rip off your space suit

Astronaut Bill Oefelein was in orbit in December 2006 when he was sent a steamy e-mail from a girlfriend awaiting his return:
"First urge will be to rip your clothes off, throw you on the ground and love the hell out of you.
But honestly, love, I want you to totally and thoroughly enjoy your hero's homecoming."

That is exactly what all of us would like, isn't it? What an earthly hero's welcome message. By the way, why this email wasn't lost? It will be used in the court, right?

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Intel lost monopoly related emails, but not the case

"Everything that could have gone wrong did go wrong," Intel claims.
However, my favorite Murphy's golden rule states: Whoever has the gold makes the (email) rules.
It very much regrets this happened.

But, does Intel regret for its monopoly status? Not known after this report.

AMD filed antitrust charges against Intel on June, 27 2005. It claims Intel has used illegal payments or improper subsidies to strong-arm a range of computer makers, distributors, and retailers into not selling or supporting AMD microprocessors.

But, what about hardware journalists? Not mentioned in article, but that doesn't mean they weren't payed too.?
P.S. -- 80% of what you read on the CPU review sites is wrong.
The 3.8GHZ Prescott, even if it had not sucked power, would have barely performed better than than a 3.2GHz Pentium IV, and in many applications it would have performed worse.
Intel's Otellini said in those words:
"We're doing product refreshes every two years, which is the model we invented and then stopped doing after Pentium 4, shame on us," Otellini said. "We fell off it -- mea culpa, we screwed up."
Luckily, one Intel's lost email is found and submited at The Inquirer.!

Friday, March 02, 2007

AMD quad core based Petaflops supercomputer in 2008 !

During summer 2005, Cray undertook a months-long evaluation of whether it would continue with AMD or switch to Intel as its strategic processor supplier through 2010. After reviewing both companies' road maps, Cray judged AMD's technically supperior and thus decided to stay put.

"We were serious about switching to Intel if that made more sense, [but] we really like what AMD is doing," said Scott. "We are very happy with the AMD processor cores and systems interfaces. They have been leading Intel for a few years, and we see that likely to continue."

That word comes just as Intel has disclosed its Core microarchitecture in a bid to close the gap with AMD on performance and power. So, AMD PetaFlos computers will come in 2 years. Until then ,Intel will have no CSI nor anything else comparable with AMD processor interbus connection.

Cray's Baker supercomputer upgrade at ORNL in late 2008: Quad core processor used will do 4 flops/cycle/core . Clock is 2.8 Ghz. Thus, pretty slow rise of clock at AMD quad core processors up to the end of 2008. AMD processor used is obviously Shanghai (6MB L3, 45nm) . Don't miss this 320 Tflops machine envisioned, based on 30508 of 2,6Ghz Dual cores.
And, what is supposed performance ratio between 2.8 Ghz Shanghai quad core and that 2,6 Dual core?
Three times !
Just as the difference in size of their caches. ! Cache size is not a measure of processor speed, but might be easily its limiting factor.

But, where is Intel's Petaflops babe? Not still ready? I remember well who first broke the Teraflops limit in 1996. It was Intel. As Cray was the first who broke 1 Gflops limit in 1989.
However, government computing scientists seems are now somewhat reluctant ( I don't know why) on Intel's performance superiority figures based solely on Intel's own benchmarks.
Seems not without justified reason. Perception vs. reality .

Whz the hell performance are so important at all? Well. look at this Japanese 10 petaflops building, that will start running in 5 years, exactly. Its size depends heavily on processor performance,as the system basic buliding block.

Intel introduces socket B LGA1366 !

Intel introduces socket B LGA1366
For Bloomfied , Nehalem quad cores with 8-12MB L2 supported by VRM 11.1 specification. Bloomfield is native quad core, and uses Intels CSI with 8 connections, a copy of AMD's Hypertransport, only 6 years old in 2009. Intel hopes to break 4 Ghz limit with Bloomfield. That's nice pace, 3 Ghz limit Intel broke in 2002 and 2 Ghz in 2001.

Interestingly to note is that Nehalem will be ready about the same time frame with AMD Shangai quad core that will use integrated 6MB L3.

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